The Trade Signal βΊ Nov 4, 2026 βΊ Midday
US Equities Advance Midday as VIX Retreats
Index futures trade higher while the VIX falls sharply. Sector performance splits between defensive strength and energy weakness.
Today's economic calendar
| Time (ET) | Event | Impact | Actual | Forecast | Previous |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5:00 AM ET | EU Inflation Rate YoY Flash (Oct. 2026) | High | 4% | 4% | 3.8% |
| 7:00 AM ET | MBA 5/1 ARM Contract Rate (w/o Oct. 26, 2026) | Medium | β | β | β |
| 7:00 AM ET | MBA 5/1 ARM Effective Rate (w/o Oct. 26, 2026) | Medium | β | β | β |
| 7:00 AM ET | MBA 15-Year Mortgage Contract Rate (w/o Oct. 26, 2026) | Medium | β | β | β |
| 7:00 AM ET | MBA 15-Year Mortgage Effective Rate (w/o Oct. 26, 2026) | Medium | β | β | β |
| 7:00 AM ET | MBA 15-Year Mortgage Points (w/o Oct. 26, 2026) | Medium | β | β | β |
| 7:00 AM ET | MBA 30-Year Mortgage Rate (w/o Oct. 26, 2026) | Medium | 7.3% | β | 7.41% |
| 7:00 AM ET | MBA 5/1 ARM Points (w/o Oct. 26, 2026) | Medium | β | β | β |
| 8:15 AM ET | ADP Employment Change (Oct. 2026) | Medium | 86K | 69K | 86K |
| 8:30 AM ET | Goods Trade Balance (Sep. 2026) | Medium | -135.08B $ | β | -132.07B $ |
| 8:30 AM ET | Balance of Trade (Sep. 2026) | Medium | -105B $ | -108B $ | -105.7B $ |
| 8:30 AM ET | Exports (Sep 2026) | Medium | 321.511B $ | β | 315.182B $ |
| 10:00 AM ET | ISM Services PMI (Oct. 2026) | High | 54.5 | 54.8 | 54.9 |
| 10:30 AM ET | EIA Ethanol Production (w/o Oct. 26, 2026) | Medium | 1,143K | β | 1,118K |
| 10:30 AM ET | EIA Ethanol Stocks (w/o Oct. 26, 2026) | Medium | 24,434K | β | 24,523K |
| 10:30 AM ET | EIA Crude Oil Stocks Change (w/o Oct. 26, 2026) | Medium | -0.865M | 1.75M | -1.892M |
Calendar times are ET and come from TradingView's public calendar, an unofficial feed; times and figures can change.
Earnings today
Before the open
- MCD McDonald's Corporation
- UBER Uber Technologies, Inc.
- CVS CVS Health Corporation
- EMR Emerson Electric Co.
- GWW W.W. Grainger, Inc.
- DDOG Datadog, Inc. Class A
- COR Cencora, Inc.
- MDLN Medline, Inc. Class A
- CVE Cenovus Energy Inc.
- MLM Martin Marietta Materials, Inc.
After the close
- QCOM QUALCOMM Incorporated
- MCK McKesson Corporation
- APP AppLovin Corp. Class A
- MELI MercadoLibre, Inc.
- MSI Motorola Solutions, Inc.
- MFC Manulife Financial Corporation
- ALL Allstate Corporation
- MET MetLife, Inc.
- AFL Aflac Incorporated
- EW Edwards Lifesciences Corporation
Time not confirmed: BRK.B, UI, TECH, MOG.B, GSAT
US-listed companies over $10B market cap, largest first. Report dates and times come from TradingView (unofficial feed) and can change.
Session so far
S&P 500 futures are +1.74% at 7,729.00, inside a range of 7,679.75 to 7,744.25. Nasdaq 100 futures are +1.38% at 28,691.50, while Dow futures are +2.97% at 53,436. Russell 2000 futures are +1.35% at 2,863.00. The VIX is β16.78% at 17.26, off its session high of 18.30. Gold is +3.63% at $4,074.10, and WTI crude is β8.87% at $87.98. Bitcoin is +3.35% at $80,375. The dollar index is β0.35% at 101.51. The 10-year yield is 4.902%, down β5.0 bp.
Levels
The S&P 500 is above the opening range and took out the prior-day high. The Nasdaq 100 is inside the opening range and took out the prior-day high. The Dow is above the opening range and took out the prior-day high. The Russell 2000 is below the opening range and took out the prior-day high.
Movers
Top gainers include CRCT at +48.91%, KD at +36.71%, and YOU at +36.41%. Top decliners include NRIX at β41.05%, SUPN at β32.90%, and DOX at β27.73%. Most active by volume are INTC at 95.21M, SPCX at 80.54M, and NVDA at 70.85M.
Sectors
Consumer Discretionary leads at +4.34%, followed by Communication Services at +4.14% and Consumer Staples at +3.79%. Energy trails at β5.44%, with Industrials at β1.10%. Technology is +0.30%.
Still to come
The remainder of the US session remains open. Watch for further movement in index futures, the VIX, and the 10-year yield ahead of the close.
Session so far
Change since the prior session's close; the range covers today's regular session up to the time shown. Data as of 12:30 PM ET.
Indices
| Index | Last | Chg | Chg % | Day range |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SPX500 (S&P 500 index) | 7,707.95 | +139.03 | +1.84% | 7,635.81 β 7,713.95 |
| NAS100 (Nasdaq 100 index) | 28,625.04 | +444.78 | +1.58% | 28,286.50 β 28,829.53 |
| Dow Jones Industrial Average | 53,276.77 | +1,490.05 | +2.88% | 52,410.23 β 53,337.27 |
| Russell 2000 index | 2,852.00 | +39.55 | +1.41% | 2,831.51 β 2,875.14 |
Index futures & volatility
| Instrument | Last | Chg | Chg % | Range |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 futures (ES) | 7,729.00 | +132.50 | +1.74% | 7,679.75 β 7,744.25 |
| Nasdaq 100 futures (NQ) | 28,691.50 | +390.75 | +1.38% | 28,405.00 β 28,969.00 |
| Dow futures (YM) | 53,436 | +1,542 | +2.97% | 52,904 β 53,483 |
| Russell 2000 futures (RTY) | 2,863.00 | +38.10 | +1.35% | 2,839.80 β 2,888.70 |
| VIX | 17.26 | β3.48 | β16.78% | 16.86 β 18.30 |
Commodities & crypto
| Instrument | Last | Chg | Chg % | Range |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gold futures | $4,074.10 | +$142.70 | +3.63% | $4,038.00 β $4,078.90 |
| WTI crude futures | $87.98 | β$8.56 | β8.87% | $87.54 β $94.10 |
| Bitcoin | $80,375 | +$2,608 | +3.35% | $78,235 β $81,078 |
Dollar, FX & yields
| Instrument | Last | Chg | Chg % | Range |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US Dollar Index (DXY) | 101.51 | β0.35 | β0.35% | 101.29 β 101.62 |
| EUR/USD | 1.1238 | +0.0044 | +0.39% | 1.1217 β 1.1269 |
| GBP/USD | 1.3474 | +0.0059 | +0.44% | 1.3454 β 1.3491 |
| USD/JPY | 158.26 | β0.46 | β0.29% | 158.24 β 158.67 |
| US 10-year yield | 4.902% | β5.0 bp | β1.01% | 4.892% β 4.964% |
Movers
US-listed stocks above $2 and a $1B market cap with at least 500K shares traded.
Top gainers
| Ticker | Price | Chg % | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| CRCT Cricut, Inc. Class A | $8.89 | +48.91% | 3.31M |
| KD Kyndryl Holdings Incorpo | $17.69 | +36.71% | 8.13M |
| YOU Clear Secure, Inc. Class | $65.15 | +36.41% | 2.78M |
| DUOL Duolingo, Inc. Class A | $168.68 | +31.78% | 4.20M |
| DFH Dream Finders Homes, Inc | $12.59 | +24.64% | 824.5K |
| LIVN LivaNova Plc | $97.65 | +22.22% | 1.54M |
| ENOV Enovis Corporation | $24.37 | +16.66% | 1.65M |
| PCOR Procore Technologies Inc | $73.49 | +16.34% | 3.23M |
Top decliners
| Ticker | Price | Chg % | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| NRIX Nurix Therapeutics, Inc. | $15.22 | β41.05% | 10.86M |
| SUPN Supernus, Inc. | $28.13 | β32.90% | 2.00M |
| DOX Amdocs Limited | $45.12 | β27.73% | 4.83M |
| ECG Everus Construction Grou | $83.93 | β25.55% | 1.05M |
| FIS Fidelity National Inform | $29.56 | β24.19% | 18.42M |
| MOD Modine Manufacturing Com | $95.28 | β24.05% | 5.27M |
| HUT Hut 8 Corp. | $49.24 | β22.76% | 7.97M |
| LIME Neutron Holdings, Inc. | $19.76 | β22.45% | 947.1K |
Most active
| Ticker | Price | Chg % | Volume | % of avg day |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| INTC Intel Corporation | $57.58 | β4.91% | 95.21M | 62% |
| SPCX Space Exploration Techno | $137.10 | β2.98% | 80.54M | 77% |
| NVDA NVIDIA Corporation | $202.98 | β1.79% | 70.85M | 71% |
| PLUG Plug Power Inc. | $1.51 | +6.74% | 66.38M | 148% |
| CIFR Cipher Digital Inc. | $6.50 | β20.01% | 61.80M | 123% |
| RIOT Riot Platforms, Inc. | $15.66 | +11.66% | 55.76M | 216% |
| SMCI Super Micro Computer, In | $29.90 | β4.75% | 53.08M | 140% |
| AMZN Amazon.com, Inc. | $267.33 | +6.64% | 50.40M | 98% |
Sectors
SPDR sector ETFs, % change today.
| Sector | ETF | Chg % |
|---|---|---|
| Consumer Discretionary | XLY | +4.34% |
| Communication Services | XLC | +4.14% |
| Consumer Staples | XLP | +3.79% |
| Financials | XLF | +2.94% |
| Real Estate | XLRE | +2.77% |
| Health Care | XLV | +2.54% |
| Materials | XLB | +2.43% |
| Utilities | XLU | +0.40% |
| Technology | XLK | +0.30% |
| Industrials | XLI | β1.10% |
| Energy | XLE | β5.44% |
Large caps
| Stock | Last | Chg % | Day range | Prior high | Prior low |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apple (AAPL) | 354.03 | +6.67% | 340.99 β 354.33 | 334.50 | 325.33 |
| Microsoft (MSFT) | 556.11 | +6.74% | 542.30 β 558.05 | 523.44 | 507.82 |
| Nvidia (NVDA) | 202.98 | β1.79% | 200.94 β 206.79 | 209.14 | 205.93 |
| Amazon (AMZN) | 267.33 | +6.64% | 263.85 β 271.49 | 252.45 | 245.88 |
| Tesla (TSLA) | 385.52 | β3.26% | 375.50 β 391.73 | 406.50 | 396.53 |
| Meta (META) | 637.15 | +2.59% | 624.50 β 643.09 | 624.84 | 610.10 |
| Alphabet (GOOGL) | 291.17 | +3.98% | 283.40 β 296.49 | 281.61 | 277.20 |
Levels to watch
The opening range is the first 30 minutes of the session. Breaks compare today's high and low with the prior-day high and low.
| Index | Opening range | vs opening range | Prior high | Prior low |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SPX500 (S&P 500 index) | 7,635.81 β 7,704.64 | above the opening range | 7,594.61 took out the prior-day high | 7,545.39 stayed above the prior-day low |
| NAS100 (Nasdaq 100 index) | 28,286.50 β 28,725.50 | inside the opening range | 28,307.90 took out the prior-day high | 28,085.50 stayed above the prior-day low |
| Dow Jones Industrial Average | 52,410.23 β 53,032.55 | above the opening range | 51,932.63 took out the prior-day high | 51,593.16 stayed above the prior-day low |
| Russell 2000 index | 2,854.61 β 2,875.14 | below the opening range | 2,836.80 took out the prior-day high | 2,810.68 stayed above the prior-day low |
Sources: Yahoo Finance, TradingView. Data may be delayed.
Briefs for Nov 4, 2026: Pre-market brief Β· Closing brief