The Trade Signal βΊ Nov 4, 2026 βΊ Pre-market
Equity Futures Climb as Dollar and Yields Ease
S&P 500, Dow, and Nasdaq 100 futures trade higher overnight while the VIX drops sharply. Gold and Bitcoin advance as crude oil slips.
Today's economic calendar
| Time (ET) | Event | Impact | Actual | Forecast | Previous |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5:00 AM ET | EU Inflation Rate YoY Flash (Oct. 2026) | High | 4% | 4% | 3.8% |
| 7:00 AM ET | MBA 5/1 ARM Contract Rate (w/o Oct. 26, 2026) | Medium | β | β | β |
| 7:00 AM ET | MBA 5/1 ARM Effective Rate (w/o Oct. 26, 2026) | Medium | β | β | β |
| 7:00 AM ET | MBA 15-Year Mortgage Contract Rate (w/o Oct. 26, 2026) | Medium | β | β | β |
| 7:00 AM ET | MBA 15-Year Mortgage Effective Rate (w/o Oct. 26, 2026) | Medium | β | β | β |
| 7:00 AM ET | MBA 15-Year Mortgage Points (w/o Oct. 26, 2026) | Medium | β | β | β |
| 7:00 AM ET | MBA 30-Year Mortgage Rate (w/o Oct. 26, 2026) | Medium | 7.3% | β | 7.41% |
| 7:00 AM ET | MBA 5/1 ARM Points (w/o Oct. 26, 2026) | Medium | β | β | β |
| 8:15 AM ET | ADP Employment Change (Oct. 2026) | Medium | 86K | 69K | 86K |
| 8:30 AM ET | Goods Trade Balance (Sep. 2026) | Medium | β | β | -132.07B $ |
| 8:30 AM ET | Balance of Trade (Sep. 2026) | Medium | β | -108B $ | -105.6B $ |
| 8:30 AM ET | Exports (Sep 2026) | Medium | β | β | 315.182B $ |
| 10:00 AM ET | ISM Services PMI (Oct. 2026) | High | β | 54.8 | 54.9 |
| 10:30 AM ET | EIA Ethanol Production (w/o Oct. 26, 2026) | Medium | β | β | 1,118K |
| 10:30 AM ET | EIA Ethanol Stocks (w/o Oct. 26, 2026) | Medium | β | β | 24,523K |
| 10:30 AM ET | EIA Crude Oil Stocks Change (w/o Oct. 26, 2026) | Medium | β | 1.75M | -1.892M |
Calendar times are ET and come from TradingView's public calendar, an unofficial feed; times and figures can change.
Earnings today
Before the open
- MCD McDonald's Corporation
- UBER Uber Technologies, Inc.
- CVS CVS Health Corporation
- EMR Emerson Electric Co.
- DDOG Datadog, Inc. Class A
- GWW W.W. Grainger, Inc.
- COR Cencora, Inc.
- CVE Cenovus Energy Inc.
- MDLN Medline, Inc. Class A
- MLM Martin Marietta Materials, Inc.
After the close
- QCOM QUALCOMM Incorporated
- MCK McKesson Corporation
- MELI MercadoLibre, Inc.
- APP AppLovin Corp. Class A
- MSI Motorola Solutions, Inc.
- MFC Manulife Financial Corporation
- ALL/PB Allstate Corporation Debentures 2013-15.1.53 Subord
- MET MetLife, Inc.
- AFL Aflac Incorporated
- EW Edwards Lifesciences Corporation
Time not confirmed: BRK.A, UI, MOG.A, TECH, GSAT
US-listed companies over $10B market cap, largest first. Report dates and times come from TradingView (unofficial feed) and can change.
Overnight
S&P 500 futures are +0.92% at 7,666.50, ranging from 7,490.00 to 7,687.75. Dow futures are +1.85% at 52,855, and Nasdaq 100 futures are +0.22% at 28,362.25. Russell 2000 futures are +1.65% at 2,871.50. The VIX is β11.43% at 18.37. The 10-year yield is 4.952%, while the dollar index is β0.60% at 101.25.
Markets
Gold is +3.09% at $4,052.80, and Bitcoin is +0.76% at $78,360. WTI crude is β2.31% at $94.31. EUR/USD is +0.68% at 1.1270, GBP/USD is +0.61% at 1.3496, and USD/JPY is β0.27% at 158.29.
Movers
Pre-market gainers include RIOT at +14.12%, OUST at +12.49%, TE at +11.66%, HL at +11.66%, and MDLN at +11.58%. Decliners include DOX at β36.91%, NRIX at β33.00%, FIS at β20.63%, DDOG at β17.52%, and CIFR at β16.75%.
Levels to Watch
S&P 500 pivot points are PP 7,569.64, R1 7,593.89, and S1 7,544.67, with the prior day spanning 7,545.39 to 7,594.61. Nasdaq 100 pivot points are PP 28,191.22, R1 28,296.94, and S1 28,074.54, with the prior day spanning 28,085.50 to 28,307.90.
Calendar
ISM Services PMI is due at 10:00 AM ET with a forecast of 54.8 versus 54.9 previous. Goods Trade Balance is at 8:30 AM ET with a previous reading of -132.07B $. Balance of Trade is at 8:30 AM ET with a forecast of -108B $ versus -105.6B $ previous. EIA Crude Oil Stocks Change is at 10:30 AM ET with a forecast of 1.75M versus -1.892M previous.
Overnight moves
Change since the prior session's close; the range covers the overnight session up to the time shown. Data as of 8:30 AM ET.
Index futures & volatility
| Instrument | Last | Chg | Chg % | Range |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 futures (ES) | 7,666.50 | +70.00 | +0.92% | 7,490.00 β 7,687.75 |
| Nasdaq 100 futures (NQ) | 28,362.25 | +61.50 | +0.22% | 27,615.75 β 28,662.00 |
| Dow futures (YM) | 52,855 | +961 | +1.85% | 51,416 β 52,865 |
| Russell 2000 futures (RTY) | 2,871.50 | +46.60 | +1.65% | 2,796.20 β 2,872.10 |
| VIX | 18.37 | β2.37 | β11.43% | 18.03 β 20.89 |
Commodities & crypto
| Instrument | Last | Chg | Chg % | Range |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gold futures | $4,052.80 | +$121.40 | +3.09% | $3,928.20 β $4,062.20 |
| WTI crude futures | $94.31 | β$2.23 | β2.31% | $93.94 β $97.15 |
| Bitcoin | $78,360 | +$593 | +0.76% | $75,607 β $78,622 |
Dollar, FX & yields
| Instrument | Last | Chg | Chg % | Range |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US Dollar Index (DXY) | 101.25 | β0.61 | β0.60% | 101.10 β 101.90 |
| EUR/USD | 1.1270 | +0.0076 | +0.68% | 1.1183 β 1.1275 |
| GBP/USD | 1.3496 | +0.0082 | +0.61% | 1.3409 β 1.3503 |
| USD/JPY | 158.29 | β0.43 | β0.27% | 157.38 β 158.75 |
| US 10-year yield | 4.952% | β | β | β β β |
Pre-market movers
US-listed stocks above $2 and a $300M market cap with at least 100K shares traded pre-market.
Gapping up
| Ticker | Price | Chg % | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| RIOT Riot Platforms, Inc. | $16.00 | +14.12% | 5.63M |
| OUST Ouster, Inc. | $32.60 | +12.49% | 113.1K |
| TE T1 Energy Inc. | $3.16 | +11.66% | 2.31M |
| HL Hecla Mining Company | $14.75 | +11.66% | 299.0K |
| MDLN Medline, Inc. Class A | $38.04 | +11.58% | 128.3K |
| ARRY Array Technologies Inc | $5.17 | +11.42% | 2.50M |
| NVTS Navitas Semiconductor Co | $9.46 | +10.51% | 2.05M |
| OSCR Oscar Health, Inc. Class | $35.25 | +8.78% | 335.3K |
Gapping down
| Ticker | Price | Chg % | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| DOX Amdocs Limited | $39.39 | β36.91% | 187.7K |
| NRIX Nurix Therapeutics, Inc. | $17.30 | β33.00% | 113.3K |
| FIS Fidelity National Inform | $30.94 | β20.63% | 1.33M |
| DDOG Datadog, Inc. Class A | $181.89 | β17.52% | 534.2K |
| CIFR Cipher Digital Inc. | $6.76 | β16.75% | 6.45M |
| HUT Hut 8 Corp. | $55.20 | β13.41% | 183.8K |
| CLSK Cleanspark, Inc. | $7.14 | β12.34% | 1.48M |
| DJT Trump Media & Technology | $5.31 | β10.76% | 701.6K |
Unusual pre-market volume
Large caps (over $2B) ranked by pre-market volume as a share of their 10-day average daily volume.
| Ticker | Price | Chg % | Volume | % of avg day |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SEDG SolarEdge Technologies, | $30.50 | β7.24% | 903.3K | 38% |
| RIOT Riot Platforms, Inc. | $16.00 | +14.12% | 5.63M | 26% |
| FIS Fidelity National Inform | $30.94 | β20.63% | 1.33M | 20% |
| EXK Endeavour Silver Corp. | $7.59 | +7.94% | 976.1K | 18% |
| NVTS Navitas Semiconductor Co | $9.46 | +10.51% | 2.05M | 17% |
| DDOG Datadog, Inc. Class A | $181.89 | β17.52% | 534.2K | 14% |
Levels to watch
Prior regular-session high, low and close with classic floor pivots (P = (H+L+C)/3). Index overnight ranges are from the matching futures contract; the stock pre-market range starts at 4:00 AM ET.
| Index | Prior high | Prior low | Prior close | R1 | Pivot | S1 | Futures overnight range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SPX500 (S&P 500 index) | 7,594.61 | 7,545.39 | 7,568.92 | 7,593.89 | 7,569.64 | 7,544.67 | 7,490.00 β 7,687.75 |
| NAS100 (Nasdaq 100 index) | 28,307.90 | 28,085.50 | 28,180.26 | 28,296.94 | 28,191.22 | 28,074.54 | 27,615.75 β 28,662.00 |
| Stock | Pre-mkt | Chg % | Pre-mkt range | Prior high | Prior low | Prior close | Pivot |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apple (AAPL) | 337.26 | +1.62% | 329.58 β 338.00 | 334.50 | 325.33 | 331.90 | 330.58 |
| Microsoft (MSFT) | 532.50 | +2.21% | 514.55 β 535.37 | 523.44 | 507.82 | 520.99 | 517.42 |
| Nvidia (NVDA) | 204.75 | β0.94% | 202.69 β 210.85 | 209.14 | 205.93 | 206.69 | 207.25 |
| Amazon (AMZN) | 259.70 | +3.59% | 246.75 β 260.96 | 252.45 | 245.88 | 250.69 | 249.67 |
| Tesla (TSLA) | 381.38 | β4.30% | 373.50 β 397.50 | 406.50 | 396.53 | 398.50 | 400.51 |
| Meta (META) | 624.50 | +0.56% | 614.00 β 636.54 | 624.84 | 610.10 | 621.03 | 618.66 |
| Alphabet (GOOGL) | 282.13 | +0.75% | 275.47 β 284.79 | 281.61 | 277.20 | 280.03 | 279.61 |
Sources: Yahoo Finance, TradingView. Data may be delayed.
Briefs for Nov 4, 2026: Midday brief Β· Closing brief